overfitting

thumb|300px|Figure 1.  The green line represents an overfitted model and the black line represents a regularized model. While the green line best follows the training data, it is too dependent on that data and is likely to have a higher error rate on new unseen data, illustrated by black-outlined dots, compared to the black line. thumb|300x300px|Figure 2.  Noisy (roughly linear) data is fitted to a linear function and a polynomial function. Although the polynomial function is a perfect fit, the linear function can be expected to generalize better: If the two functions were used to ex